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CASE STUDY / FILE 06

Seeing the Trend Before the Threshold

Exploring how AI could help clinicians notice change, recover relevant context, and identify missing information before it gets lost in the chart.

FOCUS
Clinical workflow · AI concept
DOMAIN
Maternal health
YEAR
2026
PRINCIPLE
Standardize visibility. Preserve judgment.
01

The Observation

The EHR has the data.
Clinicians build the context.

Clinical care isn't based on isolated data points. It depends on understanding what changed, what happened before, what's missing, and what multiple pieces of information mean together.

Yet much of that synthesis still happens manually.

At the bedside, I rewrite information already stored in the EHR onto a paper report sheet. During handoff, nurses verbally reconstruct hours of care. When another clinician asks a question, I search the chart and synthesize the answer. When I take over a patient, I depend on the previous nurse to tell me what matters because I may not have time to rediscover it myself.

The data exists.
The shared clinical picture often doesn't.

02

The Workaround

What lives on my paper brain?

During a shift, I manually create a working representation of my patient that may include:

STATUS

GBS · Rubella · Allergies · Membrane status · Fluid characteristics · Fetal position

LABS

Platelets · H&H · WBC · P:C · Blood glucose · Patient-specific results

LABOR

Last cervical exam · Rupture time · Pitocin history · Pushing duration · Progress · Position changes

MEDICATIONS

Scheduled medications · Next doses · Antibiotic timing · Uterotonics

PROCEDURES

Epidural timing · Foley status · Last bladder emptying · IV fluids

DELIVERY

Birth time · Placenta time · QBL · Laceration · Uterotonics administered

Most of this information already exists somewhere in the medical record.

I rewrite it because stored information isn't necessarily usable information.

DESIGN QUESTION

If clinicians repeatedly recreate the same information outside the EHR, what is the workaround telling us about the workflow?

VISUAL: This is where I'd eventually put a synthetic/de-identified recreation of your paper brain with annotations pointing to information that already exists in the EHR.
03

When There Is No Time to Search

Handoff is sometimes the interface.

Recently, I took over a patient who was actively pushing. There was no opportunity to spend ten minutes reconstructing her admission from the chart — I needed to enter the room and provide care.

I needed to know immediately:

  • How long has she been pushing?
  • Has there been progress?
  • What positions have been tried?
  • When did she rupture?
  • What is the fetal position?
  • When did the Foley come out?
  • Has urine output been adequate?
  • When was the epidural placed?
  • When is the next antibiotic due?
  • What has happened with Pitocin?
  • Have vital signs remained reassuring?
  • Are there contraindications to uterotonics?

Those answers may all exist in the chart.

But in that moment, availability isn't the same as accessibility.

I depended on another clinician to synthesize the record into the information I needed to safely take over care.

04

The Failure Modes

I see four recurring opportunities for better clinical systems.

NOTICE

What is changing?
A value doesn't have to be abnormal for its trajectory to matter.

REMEMBER

What happened before that matters now?
Clinically relevant information may live hours, days, visits, or encounters in the past.

ASK

What information should exist — but doesn't?
An expected assessment or measurement may simply never have been documented.

SYNTHESIZE

What does the care team need to understand right now?
Clinicians repeatedly assemble fragmented data into a usable patient story themselves.

05

Notice

Normal isn't always the same as unchanged.

One of the clearest examples I've encountered involves infection surveillance during labor.

A patient with prolonged rupture of membranes may have a trajectory like:

EarlierLater
Maternal temperature97.6°F99.6°F ↑
Maternal heart rate82101 ↑
Fetal baseline130150 ↑

Individually, these findings may not cross an obvious threshold.

Together, they may deserve attention.

In one recent case, I noticed that my patient felt unusually warm while repositioning her. Although her next temperature wasn't yet due, I rechecked it. It was approximately one degree higher than my previous measurement while still below the fever threshold.

At the same time, I had noticed gradual increases in maternal and fetal heart rates.

I increased temperature surveillance and updated the provider about the developing pattern so the team was aware if the clinical picture progressed.

I've seen similar trajectories ultimately lead to a diagnosis of intraamniotic infection.

I've also seen them lead to nothing.

That distinction matters.

The goal isn't for AI to declare a diagnosis. It's to make meaningful change easier for the care team to see.
06

Remember

Clinical significance can live across time.

Consider blood pressure during pregnancy.

A patient may have an elevated blood pressure during one encounter and another qualifying elevation much later in pregnancy or during labor.

The current value is only part of the question.

Has this happened before?

That historical context may affect evaluation for a hypertensive disorder and downstream clinical decisions, including laboratory assessment and medication considerations.

But recognizing the relationship can depend on someone knowing to search previous encounters and finding the relevant values.

A computer doesn't have to remember. It can retrieve.

An AI-assisted system could surface relevant historical events with their source and timestamp when they become pertinent to the current clinical picture — without independently making the diagnosis.

07

Ask

Sometimes the most useful answer is:
I need more information.

Early in my nursing career, I cared for two laboring patients who required temperature assessments every two hours.

During a busy shift, I missed them.

There was no meaningful system prompt telling me that expected surveillance data was absent. Near the end of the shift, a physician kindly reminded me of the requirement.

I was mortified. I never forgot again.

But embarrassment shouldn't be the mechanism that makes a clinical workflow reliable.

An intelligent surveillance layer could recognize:

TEMPERATURE SURVEILLANCE
Expected interval q2h
Last documented 2h 38m ago
⚠ Expected information missing — temperature surveillance is overdue.

More importantly, if other relevant data were changing, the system could communicate why obtaining updated information may matter.

AI doesn't always need to provide an answer. Sometimes it should recognize that the available data isn't sufficient to confidently evaluate the situation.
08

The Product Opportunity

From fragmented data to shared clinical context.

I would explore an AI-assisted surveillance layer that continuously organizes longitudinal clinical information around four functions:

NOTICE

Surface potentially meaningful changes across related data.

REMEMBER

Retrieve prior events that may be relevant to the current situation.

ASK

Identify expected or clinically useful information that is missing.

SYNTHESIZE

Create a shared, current picture of the patient's trajectory for the care team.

A conceptual view might look like:

PATIENT TRAJECTORY
Rupture duration 18h 42m
Maternal temperature 97.6 → 98.0 → 98.4 → 99.6 ↑
Maternal HR 82 → 88 → 94 → 101 ↑
Fetal baseline 130 → 135 → 145 → 150 ↑
Surveillance Last temp 42 min ago
Context: Multiple related measures have increased from earlier values.
No diagnosis. No prescribed action. The underlying data remains visible so the clinician can interpret its significance.
09

Not Everything Deserves an Alert

This may be the most important design constraint.

Clinicians already work in environments saturated with notifications.

In my own workflow, an overdue-medication indicator is frequently populated with non-actionable information, making it easy to stop treating the indicator as meaningful. Sepsis screening can similarly become noisy when broad parameters trigger frequently.

Adding AI-generated warnings without controlling their relevance could make the problem worse.

I would design an attention hierarchy:

01 — Context
Available without interruption.
↓
02 — Attention cue
Meaningful change surfaced visually.
↓
03 — Missing data prompt
Information needed for appropriate surveillance may be absent.
↓
04 — Interruptive alert
Reserved for sufficiently validated, actionable safety conditions.

Interruption should be earned.

10

Safety by Design

An AI surveillance system in healthcare could cause harm if it is poorly designed.

POPULATION MATTERS

Models must be validated for the population in which they're used. Laboring patients have physiologic and clinical contexts that cannot simply be treated as general adult medicine.

TRENDS AREN'T DIAGNOSES

The same trajectory can have different explanations. A changing pattern should not automatically become a diagnostic conclusion.

MISSING DATA CREATES UNCERTAINTY

The system should communicate when its interpretation is limited by incomplete or outdated information.

EXPLAIN WHY

Clinicians should be able to see the values, timestamps, sources, and relationships behind a surfaced concern.

AVOID AUTOMATION BIAS

AI should support clinical reasoning — not encourage clinicians to substitute a model's conclusion for assessment and judgment.

ALERT FATIGUE IS A SAFETY ISSUE

Sensitivity alone isn't success. A warning clinicians learn to ignore provides little protection.

11

How I Would Validate It

I wouldn't start by building an alert.

I'd start by determining whether the problem and proposed intervention hold up outside my own experience.

01 — WORKFLOW OBSERVATION

Observe how nurses, physicians, anesthesia, and other clinicians currently reconstruct patient context and what information they maintain outside the EHR.

02 — CLINICIAN INTERVIEWS

Identify which trends, historical events, and missing data clinicians actually find useful — and where needs differ by role.

03 — RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS

Examine whether candidate trajectories reliably precede clinically meaningful events and quantify false-positive patterns.

04 — PROTOTYPE

Test passive trajectory views and shared-context summaries before introducing interruptive alerts.

05 — SIMULATION + USABILITY TESTING

Present clinicians with identical patient scenarios using current-state versus proposed interfaces and measure recognition, interpretation, and response.

06 — CONTROLLED DEPLOYMENT

Introduce functionality gradually, monitor unintended consequences, and continuously evaluate trust and actionability.

12

What I Would Measure

The goal isn't more alerts.

The goal is better situational awareness with less unnecessary cognitive work.

Potential measures:

↓ Time required to reconstruct relevant patient history
↓ Missing expected assessments
↓ Time to recognition of clinically meaningful change
↑ Recognition of relevant longitudinal patterns
↑ Shared situational awareness across clinicians
↑ Clinician confidence during handoff
↓ Non-actionable notifications
↓ False-positive / ignored alerts

And I would treat clinician trust and override behavior as safety metrics, not merely adoption metrics.

13

The Principle

Standardize visibility.
Preserve judgment.

Healthcare will always require human judgment.

The opportunity for AI isn't to make every clinician reach the same conclusion. It's to reduce the chance that clinically relevant information is overlooked simply because it was buried in another screen, happened on another shift, occurred during another encounter, or never got collected.

AI CAN HELP

Notice · Remember · Ask · Synthesize

CLINICIANS

Interpret · Decide · Act

The goal isn't to replace vigilance. It's to build systems that support it.

Why I Care

I've worked inside enough hospitals to know that clinicians are remarkably good at making imperfect systems work.

We remember what the software doesn't. We create workarounds. We double-check information across screens. We learn which alerts matter and which ones to ignore. We carry the cognitive burden of systems that weren't designed around the reality of providing care. Most of the time, the patient never knows how much invisible work happened behind the scenes.

I don't think we should accept that as the cost of working in healthcare.

Nurses and clinicians deserve technology that makes it easier to care for people, not technology they have to work around. Patients deserve healthcare systems that take advantage of what's possible today, rather than asking the people caring for them to keep compensating for what's outdated, fragmented, or unnecessarily difficult.

Working across multiple health systems has made me believe deeply in what thoughtful technology can change, especially when the people who actually deliver care have a voice in building it.

That's the work I want to be part of.

OPEN TO HEALTHCARE TECHNOLOGY & CLINICAL OPERATIONS NICOLEWARDANNE@GMAIL.COM →